Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.984097 1.145034 1.317889 1.516650 1.738165 1.976732 2.252355
2025-08-03 0.694251 0.913267 1.170612 1.491820 1.878304 2.324608 2.874977
2025-08-10 0.517987 0.764296 1.078388 1.499476 2.039681 2.699591 3.555848
2025-08-17 0.380453 0.628336 0.970171 1.459565 2.124122 2.976143 4.129757
2025-08-24 0.298014 0.546117 0.913213 1.469592 2.262090 3.319163 4.800042
2025-08-31 0.233152 0.473526 0.854199 1.462686 2.367851 3.618380 5.423097
2025-09-07 0.196318 0.436809 0.840788 1.516106 2.557152 4.036702 6.222833
2025-09-14 0.163836 0.399457 0.818813 1.550463 2.716572 4.417545 6.985120
2025-09-21 0.128849 0.348132 0.763953 1.523303 2.776427 4.653845 7.549844
2025-09-28 0.108802 0.321691 0.747934 1.556543 2.929525 5.031322 8.329913
2025-10-05 0.091917 0.297496 0.731657 1.585931 3.075914 5.402988 9.113663
2025-10-12 0.077744 0.275578 0.715877 1.613175 3.218408 5.772820 9.906341
2025-10-19 0.063642 0.250136 0.690043 1.621285 3.332870 6.110659 10.675093
2025-10-26 0.048810 0.217258 0.642584 1.582857 3.364118 6.318537 11.255333
2025-11-02 0.039325 0.196366 0.617844 1.585579 3.467051 6.645672 12.032369
2025-11-09 0.029477 0.169426 0.573187 1.541641 3.480675 6.824715 12.580827
2025-11-16 0.023831 0.154608 0.555317 1.551136 3.592249 7.169941 13.403757
2025-11-23 0.018677 0.138699 0.531132 1.543513 3.669655 7.458997 14.144081
2025-11-30 0.016239 0.133417 0.535047 1.599038 3.871995 7.970159 15.262284
2025-12-07 0.013651 0.125797 0.530718 1.634774 4.036821 8.421376 16.294130
2025-12-14 0.010208 0.110786 0.500863 1.606426 4.070712 8.642155 16.948101
2025-12-21 0.008521 0.104627 0.497242 1.641061 4.234304 9.099328 18.011186
2025-12-28 0.007044 0.098479 0.492306 1.671682 4.390827 9.548604 19.072396